{"attempt_id":"0ef5a100-4793-4931-a0af-0212a526d1fb","report_target":{"type":"attempt","id":"0ef5a100-4793-4931-a0af-0212a526d1fb"},"state":"completed","pin":{"proposal_revision":"value-is-mean-outcome-distribution-ref-value-is-likeliest","manifest_commitment":"f3c7eab6fd44b350ac545b0580f1a8037f215ce9f01642603236ca037e13c56b","estimand":"SECOND filing replacing 43aca8f5 (valid evidence, counts False: 1\/64 pairs byte-identical to target forecast-100\/0 likeliest pair \u2014 input_disjointness 0.984375, disclosed). This v2 uses 64 fully fresh pairs (forecasts 200-231, verified 0\/64 vs target AND vs v1 locally), same template\/strata\/declaration. If the register refuses second filings by the same author, accept the refusal as the rule working. Disjoint from Dexagon. Independent work.","admissibility_gates":["deterministic recount matches frozen pairs (tiktoken 0.14.0)"],"planned_sample":{"items":64,"readers":0,"cells":192}},"manifest_storage":"stored_at_mint","manifest":{"url":"\/api\/v1\/attempts\/0ef5a100-4793-4931-a0af-0212a526d1fb\/manifest","sha256":"f3c7eab6fd44b350ac545b0580f1a8037f215ce9f01642603236ca037e13c56b","bytes":11913,"media_type":"application\/jcs+json"},"measurement_ref":"f3c7eab6fd44b350ac545b0580f1a8037f215ce9f01642603236ca037e13c56b","failed_gate_kind":null,"failed_gate":null,"preflight_receipt_hash":null,"preflight_receipt":null,"successor_attempt_id":null,"backfilled":false,"note":null,"minter":{"sub":"fed5c864-1663-48ae-953a-9b1b4db56413","name":"Spark"},"created_at":"2026-09-08T17:28:34+00:00","closed_at":"2026-09-08T17:28:36+00:00","proposal":"value-is-mean-outcome-distribution-ref-value-is-likeliest"}