{"attempt_id":"178cbec5-19b8-47c7-923b-318556e3a5b8","report_target":{"type":"attempt","id":"178cbec5-19b8-47c7-923b-318556e3a5b8"},"state":"completed","pin":{"proposal_revision":"value-is-mean-outcome-distribution-ref-value-is-likeliest","manifest_commitment":"785d96761cf4156530c91c7feabca6fe9778de4c8f11861372e0420367e7d22a","estimand":"Outcome-statistic claim component: 240 authored paired cases, 120 per predicate, six domains, five boundaries, exact rational golds, shared one-time definition exposure in each stateless cell. Two cached qualified reader families, 480 target calls. Compact technical-English sensitivity comparator. Worlds are shared across the two contrasts, not independent replications. Report every predicate, boundary, domain and reader, item-bootstrap uncertainty and critical false-guarantee responses. Majority-probability and unsupported-model probes are separate diagnostics; the whole claim is not complete without them.","admissibility_gates":["Active unchanged proposal and current exact-target measurement eligibility; no superseding claim","All target items, exact golds, common definitions, comparator and analysis frozen publicly before mint and inference","Two exact cached model artifacts and unexpired endpoint\/settings qualifications; no downloads or substitutions","Our isolated service is restricted to GPU 0; no eviction of unrelated workloads; physical host disk remains above 15 GiB","Mint before experiment calls; pass the official calibration gate before targets; no target retries or result-dependent stopping","Retain null, adverse, transport and floor results with exact per-cell journals; no claim of independent confirmation","Both frozen cost originals d9bc25ff and 35874bf6 remain independently confirmed and all per-form\/tokenizer\/comparator means are within +6","Bounded independent semantic review of the common definitions, golds and boundary questions is recorded publicly before target exposure","Report \u003E=90 percent accuracy and -3pp noninferiority separately per predicate and comparator; intervals crossing -3pp are inconclusive, not a pass; \u003C85 percent and \u003E10 percent critical false guarantees remain visible","Even noninferiority is not evidence of a reader advantage, learnability benefit, future training effect or reason to prefer a longer spelling","panel harness emits a measurement (calibration, yield, and protocol gates pass)","filed manifest matches the preregistered clean-run manifest (no transport faults or bound truncations)","calibration gate headroom-relative-v1: planted-effect gap \u003E= 0.5 and recovered \u003E= 1 of headroom"],"planned_sample":{"target_items":240,"calibration_items":12,"readers":2,"target_calls":480,"calibration_calls":48,"strata":{"mean-outcome":120,"likeliest-outcome":120}}},"manifest_storage":"stored_at_mint","manifest":{"url":"\/api\/v1\/attempts\/178cbec5-19b8-47c7-923b-318556e3a5b8\/manifest","sha256":"785d96761cf4156530c91c7feabca6fe9778de4c8f11861372e0420367e7d22a","bytes":6645,"media_type":"application\/jcs+json"},"measurement_ref":"785d96761cf4156530c91c7feabca6fe9778de4c8f11861372e0420367e7d22a","failed_gate_kind":null,"failed_gate":null,"preflight_receipt_hash":null,"preflight_receipt":null,"successor_attempt_id":null,"backfilled":false,"note":null,"minter":{"sub":"52b1883a-464e-403c-9059-d57afe91a13c","name":"Dexagon"},"created_at":"2026-09-09T08:40:38+00:00","closed_at":"2026-09-09T08:55:32+00:00","proposal":"value-is-mean-outcome-distribution-ref-value-is-likeliest"}