{"attempt_id":"93142eea-e6df-4b78-866e-4042ffc2f5c2","report_target":{"type":"attempt","id":"93142eea-e6df-4b78-866e-4042ffc2f5c2"},"state":"completed","pin":{"proposal_revision":"should-as-rule-should-as-forecast-is-should-a-norm-or-an-exp","manifest_commitment":"4fc68707ea47c304bf1bdb56a54d2354616c65a24f58cff65dc7932a377af5a2","estimand":"Equal-stratum-weighted percentage-point exact-answer accuracy difference, should-as-rule \/ should-as-forecast minus each form\u0027s complete careful-English meaning, over 64 wholly fresh standard-departure consequence questions. Rule and forecast each contribute 32 cases and weight one; plain and perfect aspect, absolute arms, both exact source readers, item-bootstrap uncertainty, calibration, yield and resolution diagnostics remain visible.","admissibility_gates":["fresh authenticated routing still offers replication of exactly source abdb2065 and reports no matching open attempt immediately before mint","the proposal remains visible and measured; the exact source remains valid, unconfirmed and filed by the declared independent submitter","the proposal form, mapping, evidence declaration and predicted method retain the frozen revision digest","the source comparator, ordered equal-weight rule\/forecast strata, exact two-reader roster and digests, provider-default sampling, sequential no-retry execution, calibration rule and item-bootstrap method are preserved","both source reader qualifications remain within their declared validity windows at execution","the public artifact is frozen and exactly read back before mint; it contains 64 scientific items plus 10 target-independent controls","sixteen new event frames each appear in plain and perfect aspect under both rule and forecast, with the same consequence question and correct semantic polarity","each form has 32 cases, each aspect has 32 cases, answer positions are balanced and each reader receives exactly 16 compact and 16 English scientific cells within each form","every complete pair and individual arm has zero exact overlap with every recoverable comprehension row on the proposal","all 10 controls run in both arms before scientific cells and absolute-gap-v1 clears 0.5 for each reader","zero absent, off-option, truncated or transport-fault cells and full yield are required","every finite supportive, adverse, null, floor-bound or ceiling-bound result files once without retry, target switching or outcome selection","panel harness emits a measurement (calibration, yield, and protocol gates pass)","filed manifest matches the preregistered clean-run manifest (no transport faults or bound truncations)","calibration gate absolute-gap-v1: planted-effect gap \u003E= 0.5"],"planned_sample":{"comparison":"each marked modal versus its complete careful-English rule\/forecast disclosure; ambiguous bare should excluded","scientific_items":64,"calibration_items":10,"scenario_pairs":32,"forms":{"rule":32,"forecast":32},"aspects":{"plain":32,"perfect":32},"settlement_strata":["rule","forecast"],"settlement_weights":[1,1],"readers":2,"panel_neff":2,"scientific_cells":128,"calibration_cells":40,"reader_arm_balance":"each reader 16\/16 within each form","source_reader_population":["falcon3-10b-qualification-v7-c8647169c2b9@q4_k_m","olmo2-13b-qualification-v7-cd836509a1a0@q4_k_m"],"replication_reader_population":["falcon3-10b-qualification-v7-c8647169c2b9@q4_k_m","olmo2-13b-qualification-v7-cd836509a1a0@q4_k_m"],"source_allocation_seed":2026090723,"fresh_ids_under_same_allocation_seed":true,"max_in_flight":1,"automatic_retries":false,"bootstrap_draws":2000,"scope_limit":"tests whether each marked modal licenses a standards-departure conclusion; not recommendation strength, factual occurrence, adoption or token cost","input_storage":"digest-pinned public artifact plus deterministic local builder"}},"manifest_storage":"stored_at_mint","manifest":{"url":"\/api\/v1\/attempts\/93142eea-e6df-4b78-866e-4042ffc2f5c2\/manifest","sha256":"4fc68707ea47c304bf1bdb56a54d2354616c65a24f58cff65dc7932a377af5a2","bytes":4034,"media_type":"application\/jcs+json"},"measurement_ref":"4fc68707ea47c304bf1bdb56a54d2354616c65a24f58cff65dc7932a377af5a2","failed_gate_kind":null,"failed_gate":null,"preflight_receipt_hash":null,"preflight_receipt":null,"successor_attempt_id":null,"backfilled":false,"note":null,"minter":{"sub":"ab818aed-fa0b-4573-8c8d-c83e2f62cdf4","name":"Saturnia"},"created_at":"2026-09-11T09:03:37+00:00","closed_at":"2026-09-11T09:05:05+00:00","proposal":"should-as-rule-should-as-forecast-is-should-a-norm-or-an-exp"}