{"report_target":{"type":"measurement","id":"3dc6b4c5-0fea-49ef-90a6-b74acb7a8697"},"metric":"token_delta","formula_version":1,"value":-3,"value_lo":-3.25,"value_hi":-3,"value_uncensored":null,"floor_cells":null,"panel_models":["cl100k_base","o200k_base"],"panel_members":2,"panel_neff":2,"panel_neff_basis":"computed:tokenizer_lineage","panel_neff_declared":null,"panel_agreement":null,"resample_down":null,"yield_report":null,"calibration":null,"replication_comparison":null,"derivation_verified":true,"token_derivation":{"kind":"ainglish.server-token-derivation.v1","verified":true,"manifest_hash":"dea6509b1747c9d9c37b904d0a02e31d1ac0441277cca79c61e5f431a5c8665d","verified_at":"2026-09-05T19:31:42+00:00","implementation":"yethee\/tiktoken:1.1.1:NativeEncoder","pcre_version":"10.40 2022-04-14","encodings":{"cl100k_base":{"vocab_sha256":"223921b76ee99bde995b7ff738513eef100fb51d18c93597a113bcffe865b2a7","pattern_sha256":"d98f9631be1e9607a9848c26c1f9eac1aa9fc21ac6ba82a2fc0741af9780a48f"},"o200k_base":{"vocab_sha256":"446a9538cb6c348e3516120d7c08b09f57c36495e2acfffe59a5bf8b0cfb1a2d","pattern_sha256":"0d147c72e687a7c02b132ecb993d0ba5dc0a4011030e6d17655fdb532c16f4ff"}},"pair_count":32,"token_delta_sums":{"cl100k_base":-104,"o200k_base":-96},"per_member":{"cl100k_base":-3.25,"o200k_base":-3},"headline_model":"o200k_base","value":-3,"strata":{"cl100k_base":{"prob":-3,"odds-for":-5,"odds-against":-2},"o200k_base":{"prob":-3,"odds-for":-5,"odds-against":-1}},"comparison_tolerance":9.9999999999999997988664762925561536725284350612952266601496376097202301025390625e-13,"scope":"Recounted submitted text and arithmetic only; not comparator adequacy, independent replication, comprehension, or future-trained efficiency."},"tokenizer_provenance":null,"input_disjointness":null,"arms":null,"resolution_bound":"not_applicable","accuracy_resolution":null,"interval_provenance":null,"per_member":[{"model":"cl100k_base","value":-3.25},{"model":"o200k_base","value":-3}],"stratum_results":[{"id":"prob","weight":2,"share":0.5,"value":-3,"value_lo":null,"value_hi":null,"arms":null,"resolution_bound":"not_applicable"},{"id":"odds-for","weight":1,"share":0.25,"value":-5,"value_lo":null,"value_hi":null,"arms":null,"resolution_bound":"not_applicable"},{"id":"odds-against","weight":1,"share":0.25,"value":-1,"value_lo":null,"value_hi":null,"arms":null,"resolution_bound":"not_applicable"}],"stratum_diagnostics":{"rule":"diagnostic-only-v1","lifecycle_effect":"none","cell_count":3,"adverse_cell_count":0,"multiplicity_adjusted":false,"adverse_cells":[],"interpretation":"Every cell remains load-bearing for reproduction. 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The probability of E-00 is 0%.","ainglish":"In forecast-0, E-00 means rain occurs before noon; its complement is that this event does not occur. prob(E-00)=0%.","stratum":"prob"},{"english":"In forecast-0, E-01 means rain occurs before noon; its complement is that this event does not occur. The probability of E-01 is 100%.","ainglish":"In forecast-0, E-01 means rain occurs before noon; its complement is that this event does not occur. prob(E-01)=100%.","stratum":"prob"},{"english":"In forecast-0, E-00 means rain occurs before noon; its complement is that this event does not occur. The probability odds in favour of E-00 are 0:1.","ainglish":"In forecast-0, E-00 means rain occurs before noon; its complement is that this event does not occur. odds-for(E-00)=0:1.","stratum":"odds-for"},{"english":"In forecast-0, E-00 means rain occurs before noon; its complement is that this event does not occur. The probability odds against E-00 are 1:0.","ainglish":"In forecast-0, E-00 means rain occurs before noon; its complement is that this event does not occur. odds-against(E-00)=1:0.","stratum":"odds-against"},{"english":"In forecast-1, E-10 means the parcel arrives by 18:00 UTC; its complement is that this event does not occur. The probability of E-10 is 50%.","ainglish":"In forecast-1, E-10 means the parcel arrives by 18:00 UTC; its complement is that this event does not occur. prob(E-10)=50%.","stratum":"prob"},{"english":"In forecast-1, E-11 means the parcel arrives by 18:00 UTC; its complement is that this event does not occur. The probability of E-11 is 25%.","ainglish":"In forecast-1, E-11 means the parcel arrives by 18:00 UTC; its complement is that this event does not occur. prob(E-11)=25%.","stratum":"prob"},{"english":"In forecast-1, E-08 means the parcel arrives by 18:00 UTC; its complement is that this event does not occur. The probability odds in favour of E-08 are 1:0.","ainglish":"In forecast-1, E-08 means the parcel arrives by 18:00 UTC; its complement is that this event does not occur. odds-for(E-08)=1:0.","stratum":"odds-for"},{"english":"In forecast-1, E-08 means the parcel arrives by 18:00 UTC; its complement is that this event does not occur. The probability odds against E-08 are 0:1.","ainglish":"In forecast-1, E-08 means the parcel arrives by 18:00 UTC; its complement is that this event does not occur. odds-against(E-08)=0:1.","stratum":"odds-against"},{"english":"In forecast-2, E-20 means the valve opens within ten seconds; its complement is that this event does not occur. The probability of E-20 is 75%.","ainglish":"In forecast-2, E-20 means the valve opens within ten seconds; its complement is that this event does not occur. prob(E-20)=75%.","stratum":"prob"},{"english":"In forecast-2, E-21 means the valve opens within ten seconds; its complement is that this event does not occur. The probability of E-21 is 20%.","ainglish":"In forecast-2, E-21 means the valve opens within ten seconds; its complement is that this event does not occur. prob(E-21)=20%.","stratum":"prob"},{"english":"In forecast-2, E-16 means the valve opens within ten seconds; its complement is that this event does not occur. The probability odds in favour of E-16 are 1:1.","ainglish":"In forecast-2, E-16 means the valve opens within ten seconds; its complement is that this event does not occur. odds-for(E-16)=1:1.","stratum":"odds-for"},{"english":"In forecast-2, E-16 means the valve opens within ten seconds; its complement is that this event does not occur. The probability odds against E-16 are 1:1.","ainglish":"In forecast-2, E-16 means the valve opens within ten seconds; its complement is that this event does not occur. odds-against(E-16)=1:1.","stratum":"odds-against"},{"english":"In forecast-3, E-30 means the invoice is paid before the deadline; its complement is that this event does not occur. The probability of E-30 is 40%.","ainglish":"In forecast-3, E-30 means the invoice is paid before the deadline; its complement is that this event does not occur. prob(E-30)=40%.","stratum":"prob"},{"english":"In forecast-3, E-31 means the invoice is paid before the deadline; its complement is that this event does not occur. The probability of E-31 is 60%.","ainglish":"In forecast-3, E-31 means the invoice is paid before the deadline; its complement is that this event does not occur. prob(E-31)=60%.","stratum":"prob"},{"english":"In forecast-3, E-24 means the invoice is paid before the deadline; its complement is that this event does not occur. The probability odds in favour of E-24 are 1:3.","ainglish":"In forecast-3, E-24 means the invoice is paid before the deadline; its complement is that this event does not occur. odds-for(E-24)=1:3.","stratum":"odds-for"},{"english":"In forecast-3, E-24 means the invoice is paid before the deadline; its complement is that this event does not occur. The probability odds against E-24 are 3:1.","ainglish":"In forecast-3, E-24 means the invoice is paid before the deadline; its complement is that this event does not occur. odds-against(E-24)=3:1.","stratum":"odds-against"},{"english":"In forecast-4, E-32 means the crop reaches the named weight; its complement is that this event does not occur. The probability of E-32 is 0%.","ainglish":"In forecast-4, E-32 means the crop reaches the named weight; its complement is that this event does not occur. prob(E-32)=0%.","stratum":"prob"},{"english":"In forecast-4, E-33 means the crop reaches the named weight; its complement is that this event does not occur. The probability of E-33 is 100%.","ainglish":"In forecast-4, E-33 means the crop reaches the named weight; its complement is that this event does not occur. prob(E-33)=100%.","stratum":"prob"},{"english":"In forecast-4, E-32 means the crop reaches the named weight; its complement is that this event does not occur. The probability odds in favour of E-32 are 3:1.","ainglish":"In forecast-4, E-32 means the crop reaches the named weight; its complement is that this event does not occur. odds-for(E-32)=3:1.","stratum":"odds-for"},{"english":"In forecast-4, E-32 means the crop reaches the named weight; its complement is that this event does not occur. The probability odds against E-32 are 1:3.","ainglish":"In forecast-4, E-32 means the crop reaches the named weight; its complement is that this event does not occur. odds-against(E-32)=1:3.","stratum":"odds-against"},{"english":"In forecast-5, E-42 means the train departs by 09:00 UTC; its complement is that this event does not occur. The probability of E-42 is 50%.","ainglish":"In forecast-5, E-42 means the train departs by 09:00 UTC; its complement is that this event does not occur. prob(E-42)=50%.","stratum":"prob"},{"english":"In forecast-5, E-43 means the train departs by 09:00 UTC; its complement is that this event does not occur. The probability of E-43 is 25%.","ainglish":"In forecast-5, E-43 means the train departs by 09:00 UTC; its complement is that this event does not occur. prob(E-43)=25%.","stratum":"prob"},{"english":"In forecast-5, E-40 means the train departs by 09:00 UTC; its complement is that this event does not occur. The probability odds in favour of E-40 are 1:4.","ainglish":"In forecast-5, E-40 means the train departs by 09:00 UTC; its complement is that this event does not occur. odds-for(E-40)=1:4.","stratum":"odds-for"},{"english":"In forecast-5, E-40 means the train departs by 09:00 UTC; its complement is that this event does not occur. The probability odds against E-40 are 4:1.","ainglish":"In forecast-5, E-40 means the train departs by 09:00 UTC; its complement is that this event does not occur. odds-against(E-40)=4:1.","stratum":"odds-against"},{"english":"In forecast-6, E-52 means the package passes the fixed checksum; its complement is that this event does not occur. The probability of E-52 is 75%.","ainglish":"In forecast-6, E-52 means the package passes the fixed checksum; its complement is that this event does not occur. prob(E-52)=75%.","stratum":"prob"},{"english":"In forecast-6, E-53 means the package passes the fixed checksum; its complement is that this event does not occur. The probability of E-53 is 20%.","ainglish":"In forecast-6, E-53 means the package passes the fixed checksum; its complement is that this event does not occur. prob(E-53)=20%.","stratum":"prob"},{"english":"In forecast-6, E-48 means the package passes the fixed checksum; its complement is that this event does not occur. The probability odds in favour of E-48 are 2:3.","ainglish":"In forecast-6, E-48 means the package passes the fixed checksum; its complement is that this event does not occur. odds-for(E-48)=2:3.","stratum":"odds-for"},{"english":"In forecast-6, E-48 means the package passes the fixed checksum; its complement is that this event does not occur. The probability odds against E-48 are 3:2.","ainglish":"In forecast-6, E-48 means the package passes the fixed checksum; its complement is that this event does not occur. odds-against(E-48)=3:2.","stratum":"odds-against"},{"english":"In forecast-7, E-62 means the call connects within one minute; its complement is that this event does not occur. The probability of E-62 is 40%.","ainglish":"In forecast-7, E-62 means the call connects within one minute; its complement is that this event does not occur. prob(E-62)=40%.","stratum":"prob"},{"english":"In forecast-7, E-63 means the call connects within one minute; its complement is that this event does not occur. The probability of E-63 is 60%.","ainglish":"In forecast-7, E-63 means the call connects within one minute; its complement is that this event does not occur. prob(E-63)=60%.","stratum":"prob"},{"english":"In forecast-7, E-56 means the call connects within one minute; its complement is that this event does not occur. The probability odds in favour of E-56 are 3:2.","ainglish":"In forecast-7, E-56 means the call connects within one minute; its complement is that this event does not occur. odds-for(E-56)=3:2.","stratum":"odds-for"},{"english":"In forecast-7, E-56 means the call connects within one minute; its complement is that this event does not occur. The probability odds against E-56 are 2:3.","ainglish":"In forecast-7, E-56 means the call connects within one minute; its complement is that this event does not occur. odds-against(E-56)=2:3.","stratum":"odds-against"}],"seed":2026090592,"estimand_contract":{"kind":"ainglish.estimand-shadow.v1","unit_span":"one complete scoped claim or operation, including identical surrounding context","contrast":"Current registered forms minus concise complete English carrying the same event, direction, scope, force and known quantities; no unqualified ambiguous substitute","population":"32 prospective authored probability claims across all eight declared domains. Sixteen probability claims and eight of each odds form; eight rational edge\/interior cases, including zero and certainty. Fixed 2:1:1 form mixture. 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An exact same-manifest replicates_hash is refused with 422; reusing original inputs inside a changed manifest is a BUILD CHECK that records reproduced_ok and never counts toward confirmation. input_disjointness reports the fresh complete-pair fraction, and settlement requires 1.0 when pairs are available. The original manifest above is your reference for the pair rule, not your submission.","method":"POST","url":"\/api\/v1\/proposals\/prob-event-p-odds-for-event-favourable-unfavourable-odds\/measurements","body":{"metric":"token_delta","value":"\u003Cyour result\u003E","manifest":"\u003Cyour OWN manifest \u2014 same metric and rules, DIFFERENT items\u003E","replicates_hash":"dea6509b1747c9d9c37b904d0a02e31d1ac0441277cca79c61e5f431a5c8665d"}}}