Compare two experiments

First result · 2026-10-08 19:35 UTC

mean-outcome / likeliest-outcome — an expected result need not be a possible result

Not yet counting in evidence decisions. This row remains available for assessment, but does not currently carry a counting evidence result.

What was measured

comprehension accuracy · comprehension_accuracy_delta
How does the wording change correct answers from the declared reader panel?

Reported result

-0.665 percentage points
Reported interval: -3.4247 to 2.2059.

The value is neutral or does not resolve the registered direction.

English comparison

Other declared comparison; inspect the specification

Declared by the submitter; not a certification of equivalent information.

Exactly shared common definitions, distribution, units, version, conditioning and tie rules; only the statistic expression differs. Both arms carry the identical shared-definition preamble and the identical four-part joint question (16 options, chance 0.0625). The English arm states the statistic in words; the marked arm carries the cold tag alone ('x units is mean-outcome(<model>).') with no legend. The source 785d9676 declares the same comparator kind.

Reader exposure

Reader exposure not recorded as a structured label

Named instruments

deepseek-flash

Reader population not separately declared.

Conditions covered

Separate outcomes retained for all 2 declared conditions

mean-outcome, likeliest-outcome

An overall average can hide a weak condition. A condition list is not proof that every form or claim in the proposal was tested.

Settlement role

Target no longer carries evidence

The target original was retracted. This replication remains visible, but no longer adds a settlement voice to that target. This does not itself invalidate the replication’s observations.

This result checks a named original, not every experiment on the proposal. Read its target original

Compare with the exact target attempt

Every declared condition must agree. Overlapping overall intervals alone do not confirm this original.

How much input text was reused?

Complete-pair freshness is not available for this receipt.

Separate-arm overlap is unavailable or has not been computed. This does not mean zero reuse.

The item banks are referenced by digest rather than inspectable here. Compare the explicitly retrieved, digest-verified files before making a freshness claim.

Declared item-bank digests: different. This compares bank identity, not shared sentences; different bank digests can still contain identical pairs.

Exact text comparisons only; repeated occurrences count separately. Shared text can deserve scrutiny even when each complete pair is new. These arm counts are descriptive and do not change settlement eligibility.

Declared target content identity

785d96761cf4156530c91c7feabca6fe9778de4c8f11861372e0420367e7d22a

How often did each version lead to the right answer?

English comparison: 99.11%; 99.11%
Ainglish version: 98.44%; 98.44%

Reported real-item accuracy, not the separate calibration score. Both bars use the same 0–100% scale. The difference is measured in percentage points, not percent improvement. Any declared stratum weights are already applied.

Reported item-bootstrap interval: -3.4247 to 2.2059 percentage points.

This interval concerns the difference, not separate uncertainty bounds for either accuracy. It does not measure uncertainty across humans or future models.

At least one declared condition is resolution-limited. The overall interval does not settle every condition.

Real cases: 240 · Named readers: 1. These are different units; multiple answers to one case are not new cases.

Does the overall result hide differences between conditions?

Every stored condition, without new pooling. Differences and intervals use percentage points. Condition names come from the frozen experiment.
Condition	Reported difference	Reported interval	English accuracy	Ainglish accuracy
`mean-outcome`	0	Not recorded	100.00%	100.00%
`likeliest-outcome`	-1.33	Not recorded	98.21%	96.88%

A missing condition interval is not zero uncertainty. An overall interval cannot substitute for agreement in every load-bearing condition.

Inspect externally stored inputs and recorded answers

The comparison label is the submitter’s declaration, not a semantic certification. Check that both versions preserve the information needed to answer the same question.

Numbers count only readable inputs attached to this receipt. They are not the experiment’s declared sample size or the number of reader calls.

The input material is linked externally. The number of study items and controls in that file has not been checked by this website. “External file” does not mean zero inputs.

Open the declared external input artifact. This is an unverified external link, not a hosted or inspected copy.

Declared input digest: 2acdcbe63a8a453c132f4f43eefa70797e4cfe4bb2154b180a8575d6af0a47e0. A recorded digest alone does not establish that the linked file matches it.

The website does not fetch the file. Verify the declared digest recipe before relying on it: SDK item digests use canonical JSON of the item array, not the raw pretty-printed file bytes.

No readable study input pairs are stored inline in this receipt. This does not mean the experiment used none.

Prompts, reference material and other context can live elsewhere in the specification. Inputs and keys alone do not reconstruct every reader call or establish a fair comparison.

Declared population, method and retained outcomes

No structured study scope is declared here. Inspect the immutable manifest; do not infer a comparator or population from the headline.

Absolute arm results, reader-specific results and condition results below are retained values, not a newly pooled analysis. Accuracy arms use fractions from 0 to 1; their difference uses percentage points.

Absolute arm results

{
    "english": 0.99109999999999998099298181841732002794742584228515625,
    "ainglish": 0.98440000000000005275779813018743880093097686767578125,
    "chance": 0.0625
}

Reader or tokenizer results

[
    {
        "model": "deepseek-flash",
        "value": -0.66500000000000003552713678800500929355621337890625
    }
]

Condition results

[
    {
        "id": "mean-outcome",
        "weight": 1,
        "share": 0.5,
        "value": 0,
        "value_lo": null,
        "value_hi": null,
        "arms": {
            "english": 1,
            "ainglish": 1,
            "chance": 0.0625
        },
        "resolution_bound": "ceiling"
    },
    {
        "id": "likeliest-outcome",
        "weight": 1,
        "share": 0.5,
        "value": -1.3300000000000000710542735760100185871124267578125,
        "value_lo": null,
        "value_hi": null,
        "arms": {
            "english": 0.98209999999999997299937604111619293689727783203125,
            "ainglish": 0.96879999999999999449329379785922355949878692626953125,
            "chance": 0.0625
        },
        "resolution_bound": "ceiling"
    }
]

Exact result and immutable specification Experiment history

Attempt 596c30a0-bcf3-49f2-a054-2167becbea6e
Content 572a08110faf7042215147d0d1382369456bb6fddc101aa9e81d095b07352b8e