First result · 2026-09-14 21:37 UTC
caused-by(<C>) / co-occurring(<C>) — say whether you're asserting a cause or only a sequence
Not yet counting in evidence decisions. This row remains available for assessment, but does not currently carry a counting evidence result.
- What was measured
- comprehension accuracy ·
comprehension_accuracy_delta
How does the wording change correct answers from the declared reader panel? - Reported result
- -23.4375 percentage points
Reported interval: -29.6875 to -17.1875.The value falls on the registered harmful side of this metric’s neutral point.
- English comparison
- Complete, careful English
Declared by the submitter; not a certification of equivalent information.
For caused-by, careful English asserts that C produced Y and that the speaker owes a mechanism or intervention if challenged. For co-occurring, careful English says C preceded or accompanied Y while explicitly withholding the claim that C produced Y. No bare sequence comparator is included in this scalar.
- Reader exposure
- Reader exposure not recorded as a structured label
- Named instruments
Saturnia-Sep14-Cause-Gemma12@q4_k_m,Saturnia-Sep14-Cause-Mistral24@q4_k_mReader population not separately declared.
- Conditions covered
- Separate outcomes retained for all 16 declared conditions
caused-by-healthcare,co-occurring-healthcare,caused-by-aviation,co-occurring-aviation,caused-by-agriculture,co-occurring-agriculture,caused-by-broadcasting,co-occurring-broadcasting,caused-by-municipal,co-occurring-municipal,caused-by-astronomy,co-occurring-astronomy,caused-by-education,co-occurring-education,caused-by-shipping,co-occurring-shippingAn overall average can hide a weak condition. A condition list is not proof that every form or claim in the proposal was tested.
- Settlement role
- Awaiting independent settlement
An original reports one result. It does not confirm itself.
How often did each version lead to the right answer?
- English comparison
- 100.00%
100.00% - Ainglish version
- 76.56%
76.56%
Reported real-item accuracy, not the separate calibration score. Both bars use the same 0–100% scale. The difference is measured in percentage points, not percent improvement. Any declared stratum weights are already applied.
Reported item-bootstrap interval: -29.6875 to -17.1875 percentage points.
This interval concerns the difference, not separate uncertainty bounds for either accuracy. It does not measure uncertainty across humans or future models.
At least one declared condition is resolution-limited. The overall interval does not settle every condition.
Real cases: 128 · Named readers: 2. These are different units; multiple answers to one case are not new cases.
Does the overall result hide differences between conditions?
| Condition | Reported difference | Reported interval | English accuracy | Ainglish accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
caused-by-healthcare | -50 | Not recorded | 100.00% | 50.00% |
co-occurring-healthcare | -12.5 | Not recorded | 100.00% | 87.50% |
caused-by-aviation | -50 | Not recorded | 100.00% | 50.00% |
co-occurring-aviation | 0 | Not recorded | 100.00% | 100.00% |
caused-by-agriculture | -50 | Not recorded | 100.00% | 50.00% |
co-occurring-agriculture | -12.5 | Not recorded | 100.00% | 87.50% |
caused-by-broadcasting | -37.5 | Not recorded | 100.00% | 62.50% |
co-occurring-broadcasting | 0 | Not recorded | 100.00% | 100.00% |
caused-by-municipal | -37.5 | Not recorded | 100.00% | 62.50% |
co-occurring-municipal | 0 | Not recorded | 100.00% | 100.00% |
caused-by-astronomy | -37.5 | Not recorded | 100.00% | 62.50% |
co-occurring-astronomy | 0 | Not recorded | 100.00% | 100.00% |
caused-by-education | -37.5 | Not recorded | 100.00% | 62.50% |
co-occurring-education | -12.5 | Not recorded | 100.00% | 87.50% |
caused-by-shipping | -37.5 | Not recorded | 100.00% | 62.50% |
co-occurring-shipping | 0 | Not recorded | 100.00% | 100.00% |
A missing condition interval is not zero uncertainty. An overall interval cannot substitute for agreement in every load-bearing condition.
Inspect externally stored inputs and recorded answers
The comparison label is the submitter’s declaration, not a semantic certification. Check that both versions preserve the information needed to answer the same question.
Numbers count only readable inputs attached to this receipt. They are not the experiment’s declared sample size or the number of reader calls.
The input material is linked externally. The number of study items and controls in that file has not been checked by this website. “External file” does not mean zero inputs.
Open the declared external input artifact. This is an unverified external link, not a hosted or inspected copy.
Declared input digest: f273a518088e9c7eadffd8977dd04a832d162dca4a5746822216fdd0fdaf017f. A recorded digest alone does not establish that the linked file matches it.
The website does not fetch the file. Verify the declared digest recipe before relying on it: SDK item digests use canonical JSON of the item array, not the raw pretty-printed file bytes.
No readable study input pairs are stored inline in this receipt. This does not mean the experiment used none.
Prompts, reference material and other context can live elsewhere in the specification. Inputs and keys alone do not reconstruct every reader call or establish a fair comparison.
Declared population, method and retained outcomes
No structured study scope is declared here. Inspect the immutable manifest; do not infer a comparator or population from the headline.
Absolute arm results, reader-specific results and condition results below are retained values, not a newly pooled analysis. Accuracy arms use fractions from 0 to 1; their difference uses percentage points.
Absolute arm results
{
"english": 1,
"ainglish": 0.76559999999999994724220186981256119906902313232421875,
"chance": 0.25
}
Reader or tokenizer results
[
{
"model": "Saturnia-Sep14-Cause-Gemma12",
"value": -20.3125,
"precision": "q4_k_m"
},
{
"model": "Saturnia-Sep14-Cause-Mistral24",
"value": -26.5625,
"precision": "q4_k_m"
}
]
Condition results
[
{
"id": "caused-by-healthcare",
"weight": 1,
"share": 0.0625,
"value": -50,
"value_lo": null,
"value_hi": null,
"arms": {
"english": 1,
"ainglish": 0.5,
"chance": 0.25
},
"resolution_bound": "resolvable"
},
{
"id": "co-occurring-healthcare",
"weight": 1,
"share": 0.0625,
"value": -12.5,
"value_lo": null,
"value_hi": null,
"arms": {
"english": 1,
"ainglish": 0.875,
"chance": 0.25
},
"resolution_bound": "resolvable"
},
{
"id": "caused-by-aviation",
"weight": 1,
"share": 0.0625,
"value": -50,
"value_lo": null,
"value_hi": null,
"arms": {
"english": 1,
"ainglish": 0.5,
"chance": 0.25
},
"resolution_bound": "resolvable"
},
{
"id": "co-occurring-aviation",
"weight": 1,
"share": 0.0625,
"value": 0,
"value_lo": null,
"value_hi": null,
"arms": {
"english": 1,
"ainglish": 1,
"chance": 0.25
},
"resolution_bound": "ceiling"
},
{
"id": "caused-by-agriculture",
"weight": 1,
"share": 0.0625,
"value": -50,
"value_lo": null,
"value_hi": null,
"arms": {
"english": 1,
"ainglish": 0.5,
"chance": 0.25
},
"resolution_bound": "resolvable"
},
{
"id": "co-occurring-agriculture",
"weight": 1,
"share": 0.0625,
"value": -12.5,
"value_lo": null,
"value_hi": null,
"arms": {
"english": 1,
"ainglish": 0.875,
"chance": 0.25
},
"resolution_bound": "resolvable"
},
{
"id": "caused-by-broadcasting",
"weight": 1,
"share": 0.0625,
"value": -37.5,
"value_lo": null,
"value_hi": null,
"arms": {
"english": 1,
"ainglish": 0.625,
"chance": 0.25
},
"resolution_bound": "resolvable"
},
{
"id": "co-occurring-broadcasting",
"weight": 1,
"share": 0.0625,
"value": 0,
"value_lo": null,
"value_hi": null,
"arms": {
"english": 1,
"ainglish": 1,
"chance": 0.25
},
"resolution_bound": "ceiling"
},
{
"id": "caused-by-municipal",
"weight": 1,
"share": 0.0625,
"value": -37.5,
"value_lo": null,
"value_hi": null,
"arms": {
"english": 1,
"ainglish": 0.625,
"chance": 0.25
},
"resolution_bound": "resolvable"
},
{
"id": "co-occurring-municipal",
"weight": 1,
"share": 0.0625,
"value": 0,
"value_lo": null,
"value_hi": null,
"arms": {
"english": 1,
"ainglish": 1,
"chance": 0.25
},
"resolution_bound": "ceiling"
},
{
"id": "caused-by-astronomy",
"weight": 1,
"share": 0.0625,
"value": -37.5,
"value_lo": null,
"value_hi": null,
"arms": {
"english": 1,
"ainglish": 0.625,
"chance": 0.25
},
"resolution_bound": "resolvable"
},
{
"id": "co-occurring-astronomy",
"weight": 1,
"share": 0.0625,
"value": 0,
"value_lo": null,
"value_hi": null,
"arms": {
"english": 1,
"ainglish": 1,
"chance": 0.25
},
"resolution_bound": "ceiling"
},
{
"id": "caused-by-education",
"weight": 1,
"share": 0.0625,
"value": -37.5,
"value_lo": null,
"value_hi": null,
"arms": {
"english": 1,
"ainglish": 0.625,
"chance": 0.25
},
"resolution_bound": "resolvable"
},
{
"id": "co-occurring-education",
"weight": 1,
"share": 0.0625,
"value": -12.5,
"value_lo": null,
"value_hi": null,
"arms": {
"english": 1,
"ainglish": 0.875,
"chance": 0.25
},
"resolution_bound": "resolvable"
},
{
"id": "caused-by-shipping",
"weight": 1,
"share": 0.0625,
"value": -37.5,
"value_lo": null,
"value_hi": null,
"arms": {
"english": 1,
"ainglish": 0.625,
"chance": 0.25
},
"resolution_bound": "resolvable"
},
{
"id": "co-occurring-shipping",
"weight": 1,
"share": 0.0625,
"value": 0,
"value_lo": null,
"value_hi": null,
"arms": {
"english": 1,
"ainglish": 1,
"chance": 0.25
},
"resolution_bound": "ceiling"
}
]
Exact result and immutable specificationExperiment history
Attempt be7fb959-832a-4a0d-9fdd-1ddaeaa5a4e1
Content c0a5df1f6cd0ff63c4e3b23a79ffe24c70f6e42c9be805a857b4a142faadcde8