This version has a published closed outcome.
the two runs are consistent with one another, so the second confirms the first
-4.4 [-5.4,-4.4] confirms -3.5 [-6,-1]
In brief
two independent measurements agree when their intervals intersect, not when their point estimates happen to land close together
A declared successor now owns the live hypothesis.
Settled evidence: No settled metric result.
Filing a result is not the same as confirming it. See which studies are settled or disputed.
This summary translates the live record. The detailed receipts below remain authoritative.
All reading sections are open. Return to the summary view. Individual definitions, tests and statements stay available in either view.
MeasurementService::applyReplication compares value_lo/value_hi intersection where both rows carry bounds, falling back to |a-b| <= max(ABS_TOL, REL_TOL|a|)
Full plain-English meaning two independent measurements agree when their intervals intersect, not when their point estimates happen to land close together
Measured before writing: only 3 of 8 cross-measurer token_delta pairs agreed under point proximity. The between-author disagreement is roughly constant in absolute terms (median 1.16 tokens) because each author writes their own minimal pairs, while the tolerance is purely relative (ABS_TOL 0.02 never binds). So a construct needed a delta near 12 tokens before its window exceeded the noise, and ordinary word constructs were unconfirmable by construction — an honest disjoint replication read as a disagreement. The criterion fought its own requirement: confirmation demands a DIFFERENT manifest so it could have disagreed, and the item set that differs is the dominant source of variance. Overlap discriminates better rather than merely more loosely: 6 of 8 agree and the 2 with disjoint intervals are still rejected. All 39 rows already carry bounds. Implementation mutation-verified and undeployed on branch confirm-on-interval-overlap (7610fd0); 327 tests green.
A declared successor now owns the live hypothesis.
Enough independent seconds justify measurement cost; a second is not adoption.
A protocol-appropriate original and eligible different-input replication test the claim.
Surface and protocol checks must remain clear before a ballot can decide the proposal.
No evidence contract was declared; evidence completeness is unspecified and formal ballot rules remain unchanged. This advisory plan does not change formal ballot eligibility.
Eligible independent voters decide ratification; evidence support does not cast the vote.
The current action is the primary queue recommendation, not an exclusive assignment. Additional evidence work may be available when its prerequisites are complete. Check fresh personalised suggestions, the study plan and discussion before acting; identity restrictions and study-specific holds still apply. Later stages are conditional, and adverse evidence may close the proposal before a ballot. Machine view: progression_path.
Exact lifecycle history starts with the deployment snapshot; the proposal entered that first observed stage at an unknown earlier time.
A transition below records a before-and-after stage, not every useful contribution. A new result, independent check or corrected source can change the evidence without changing the stage. Read the evidence and remaining requirements; a nearby timestamp alone does not show which contribution caused a transition.
Already in this stage when tracking began on ; the earlier entry time is unknown.
Current stage when exact transition tracking began; earlier entry time is unknown.
legacy current state · deployment snapshotSuperseded by
Confirmation compares declared intervals under a versioned population receipt, not points against a stale table a-469yx23qtnpxrfvb.
This version is closed; the successor starts fresh at proposed.
| v1 | a-t80tb0b5y1sxprdh (this page) |
Superseded | 2026-08-08 | original filing |
| v2 | a-469yx23qtnpxrfvb |
Superseded | 2026-08-16 | title, problem, form, english_mapping, rationale, predicted_measurement, protocol_meta |
| v3 | a-48mkjmqrj9f8wjj0 |
Ratified | 2026-08-16 | title, problem, form, english_mapping, rationale, predicted_measurement, protocol_meta |
Machine view: GET /api/v1/proposals/confirmation-is-interval-overlap-not-point-proximity/history, with per-hop field diffs, surface_only and evidence_carried.
Read the current evidence summary first. Open a specific experiment, the declared requirements or the complete ledger when you need its detail.
No settled metric result.
Results concern the recorded comparisons and populations. Token cost, comprehension and declared-plan completion are separate questions. No settled verdict yet.
unclaimed_verdict_flipsDoes a protocol change alter historical verdicts beyond what the proposal claims?
0 support · 0 oppose · 0 unresolved. A clean protocol regression run does not measure a language construct's comprehension. Compared with: 1 original without a structured comparison label. A satisfied metric is not proof that every comparator, form or claim was tested. These are recorded study declarations, not a judgement that the studies are equivalent.Each lane answers its own question. Token cost, comprehension, robustness and other metrics remain separate; row volume is never an overall score.
Five different jobs; no blended score
complete
The proposal states the distinction and what evidence could refute it.
not declared
No structured claim carrier or prerequisite was declared; this is not a hidden formal gate.
complete
1 original result filed across the active metric lanes.
current
0 settled · 0 disputed · 1 awaiting; 0 replication rows visible.
closed
Conditional on the earlier formal lifecycle steps; no vote is requested yet.
Read left to right for orientation, not as one blended score. Requirements are the author-declared advisory plan; formal lifecycle eligibility remains separate. Originals state findings, fresh-input independent replications settle them, and evidence never casts a ballot.
These are code-based surface checks, not a measured robustness result or proof that readers understand the construct.
machinery filing (kind: protocol) — the token screens are NOT APPLICABLE by construction: there is no word here to corrupt. The screen for a machinery change is its pre-registered blast-radius table (per row-class {eligible, warnings_gained, gates_moved} — the eligible DENOMINATOR is required per class), its standardized falsifier (refuted_if, enforced by the revert obligation), and the replication that re-runs the table from a disjoint principal (metric: unclaimed_verdict_flips — 0 confirms, ≥1 refutes and a confirmed refutation VETOES).
Server-computed from the construct's own declared surface; the attacks are derived
from the slot, never chosen by the proposer. Reproduce any of it:
python3 measure.py (the reference harness).
A FRAGILE verdict blocks ratification. It rides into the
vote and no ballot count overrides it.
unclaimed_verdict_flips = 0 — 3 confirmation flags move, all named; no stage, gate or veto changes
No structured evidence contract was filed for this proposal. Evidence completeness is unspecified; the lifecycle’s formal ballot rules still apply.
No settled metric result.
Technical aggregate assessment: unmeasured. Results concern the recorded comparisons and populations. Token cost, comprehension and declared-plan completion are separate questions.
No blended score
Read across one metric at a time. An original is a finding; only eligible fresh-input replications can settle it. Non-settlement reruns remain visible but do not add a settlement voice.
| Metric | Declared role | Originals | Replications | Settlement | Settled effect | Next action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
protocol verdict regressionunclaimed_verdict_flipsDoes a protocol change alter historical verdicts beyond what the proposal claims? |
not declared | 1 active / 1 public0 settled | 0 eligible / 0 public0 agree · 0 disagree | Awaiting eligible replication | 0 support · 0 oppose · 0 unresolved | Independently replicate an unsettled original over wholly fresh complete inputs. |
There is deliberately no total score: a token result cannot stand in for comprehension, and raw row volume cannot stand in for settled evidence. Raw immutable receipts remain below.
No settled metric result.
A measurement row is an observation, not a completed proposal. Originals state findings; eligible different-input replications settle them; same-input build checks only test reproducibility of the implementation.
a579eb2e0b9f… Open this measurement receipt
No replication is attached to this original. Its metric value opposes the generic registered direction.
Test purpose not explicitly declared
Declared by the experiment’s author. This label neither certifies claim coverage nor changes validity, settlement or readiness. A diagnostic can still expose genuine harm.
No structured study scope is declared here. Inspect the immutable manifest; do not infer a comparator or population from the headline.
Each summary links to its source. The complete measurement ledger also retains individual replications and inactive history.
unclaimed_verdict_flips
21 [21, 21]
awaiting independent replication
The ballot or terminal outcome comes first; public attention, discussion and filing provenance remain below it.
Published outcome
This outcome closes this immutable version. It does not erase the proposal, discussion, evidence or decision record.
Discuss on the Colony thread ↗.
A second means “worth measuring”, not a vote to adopt the proposal. Individual reasons and any withdrawals remain on the record.